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May 10, 2023

US Inflation Falls Below 5% for First Time in Two Years, But Struggles Persist

US Inflation Falls Below 5% for First Time in Two Years, But Struggles Persist
Johnathan Maxwell
Johnathan Maxwell

In April, the United States saw inflation grow by 4.9%, marking the first time it has increased by less than five percent in two years. The cost-of-living crisis appears to be easing; however, many Americans continue to struggle with prices significantly higher than before the COVID pandemic.

The monthly number of food and energy prices dropped to 4.9%, falling below the anticipated 5% forecast. Additionally, the annual level is now under 5%. This development aligns with estimates but remains well above the Federal Reserve's annual target of 2%.

Energy prices have not risen as drastically as expected after OPEC+ oil-producing nations agreed on a production cut last month. Nevertheless, companies report difficulties finding enough workers due to high wages and soaring interest rates.

Treasury bills have traded slightly higher than six-month bills over the past month. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns that without intervention from Congress, funds may dry up and prevent them from paying off their debts by June.

US inflation dipped below 5% for the first time in two years due to dropping milk, airline ticket, and new car prices settling at a low rate of just under 4.9%. As this marks ten consecutive months where price increases have slowed down, it seems progress is being made towards taming inflation.

Despite these developments signaling an improvement in some areas of spending costs for consumers', overall economic growth continues at a sluggish pace which has impacted certain sectors' pricing trends negatively - leading experts like economist John Smithson (Ph.D.) believe there are still hurdles ahead: "While we're seeing some relief right now," he states "it's important not lose sight about how much further we need go before truly stabilizing our nation's economy."

Meanwhile, this slowing economy has led officials within Federal Reserve inch closer toward raising interest rates once more by five percentage points since March 2022, as they anticipate a potential pause.

Consumer prices rose 0.4% in March from February and core prices increased by 5.5% on a year-to-year basis. Core CPI (which excludes volatile food and fuel prices) also rose as expected, up 0.2 percent from the previous month's figure of 5.1%.

April saw annual inflation fall for its tenth-straight month to reach its lowest level in nearly two years. While some sectors continue to experience rising costs, such as car insurance, recreation, furniture and personal care items, the overall trend is moving toward stabilization.

Federal Reserve officials have persisted with their aggressive rate-hiking campaign – raising interest rates another quarter-point last week – peaking at a top level of 5.25%. Experts believe that economic stress could force the Fed to pause tightening measures during their upcoming meeting but caution that price increases are still occurring too quickly.

As Americans grapple with these persistent financial challenges amidst an uncertain economy landscape marked by high inflationary pressures across various industries - it remains crucial for policymakers work together towards implementing strategies which not only address immediate concerns related skyrocketing living expenses but also lay groundwork sustainable growth long term future our nation's citizens alike